Disruption in Circularity? Impact analysis of COVID-19 on ship recycling using Weibull tonnage estimation and scenario analysis method.
Identifieur interne : 000001 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000000; suivant : 000002Disruption in Circularity? Impact analysis of COVID-19 on ship recycling using Weibull tonnage estimation and scenario analysis method.
Auteurs : S M Mizanur Rahman [France] ; Junbeum Kim [France] ; Bertrand Laratte [France, Turquie]Source :
- Resources, conservation, and recycling [ 0921-3449 ] ; 2021.
Abstract
The sustainability of the ship recycling industry strongly linked with the global shipping market and international commodity flows. More than 80% of the End of Life (EoL) ships are dismantled in South Asian countries, namely Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. Due to measures taken to minimize the propagation of the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), an international supply chain is broken to a historic low, except for certain medical-related urgencies. Due to the disruption of global supply chains, the industry may submerge into uncertainty due to, perhaps, lack of adequate labor force to dismantle increased EoL ships and due to disturbances of vessel transportation to the recycling nations amid strong precautionary measures. Our estimate suggests that about 300 million Gross Tonnage (GT) available for demolition in the next five years and the inability to get them recycled would cost about 20 billion dollars. More importantly, South Asian recycling nations would suffer from economic losses and employment opportunities. In this study, we also apply a scenario analysis technique to understand the impact range of COVID-19 in the short term and in the long term. The disruption is viewed through a circular economy framework, identifying a critical lack of 'global scale' acknowledgment in the circular economy framework. This article suggests that a formalized global scale, paralleled with favorable policies, may reduce supply chain disruption and improve sustainable development in the receiving nations.
DOI: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105139
PubMed: 32904429
PubMed Central: PMC7455110
Affiliations:
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Impact analysis of COVID-19 on ship recycling using Weibull tonnage estimation and scenario analysis method.</title><author><name sortKey="Rahman, S M Mizanur" sort="Rahman, S M Mizanur" uniqKey="Rahman S" first="S M Mizanur" last="Rahman">S M Mizanur Rahman</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>University of Bordeaux, CNRS, Arts et Metiers Institute of Technology, Bordeaux INP, INRAE, I2M Bordeaux, F-33400 Talence, France.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>University of Bordeaux, CNRS, Arts et Metiers Institute of Technology, Bordeaux INP, INRAE, I2M Bordeaux, F-33400 Talence</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region" nuts="2">Nouvelle-Aquitaine</region><region type="old region" nuts="2">Aquitaine</region><settlement type="city">Talence</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kim, Junbeum" sort="Kim, Junbeum" uniqKey="Kim J" first="Junbeum" last="Kim">Junbeum Kim</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>CREIDD Research Center on Environmental Studies & Sustainability, Department of Humanities, Environment & Information Technology, Institut Charles Delaunay, CNRS-UMR 6281, University of Technology of Troyes, France.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>CREIDD Research Center on Environmental Studies & Sustainability, Department of Humanities, Environment & Information Technology, Institut Charles Delaunay, CNRS-UMR 6281, University of Technology of Troyes</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>University of Technology of Troyes</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>University of Technology of Troyes</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Laratte, Bertrand" sort="Laratte, Bertrand" uniqKey="Laratte B" first="Bertrand" last="Laratte">Bertrand Laratte</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Arts et Metiers Institute of Technology, University of Bordeaux, CNRS, Bordeaux INP, INRAE, I2M Bordeaux, F-33400 Talence, France.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Arts et Metiers Institute of Technology, University of Bordeaux, CNRS, Bordeaux INP, INRAE, I2M Bordeaux, F-33400 Talence</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region" nuts="2">Nouvelle-Aquitaine</region><region type="old region" nuts="2">Aquitaine</region><settlement type="city">Talence</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Industrial Engineering, Ondokuz Mayıs University, 55139 Samsun, Turkey.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Turquie</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Industrial Engineering, Ondokuz Mayıs University, 55139 Samsun</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>55139 Samsun</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>APESA-Innovation, F-40220 Tarnos, France.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>APESA-Innovation, F-40220 Tarnos</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="region" nuts="2">Nouvelle-Aquitaine</region><region type="old region" nuts="2">Aquitaine</region><settlement type="city">Tarnos</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Resources, conservation, and recycling</title><idno type="ISSN">0921-3449</idno><imprint><date when="2021" type="published">2021</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The sustainability of the ship recycling industry strongly linked with the global shipping market and international commodity flows. More than 80% of the End of Life (EoL) ships are dismantled in South Asian countries, namely Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. Due to measures taken to minimize the propagation of the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), an international supply chain is broken to a historic low, except for certain medical-related urgencies. Due to the disruption of global supply chains, the industry may submerge into uncertainty due to, perhaps, lack of adequate labor force to dismantle increased EoL ships and due to disturbances of vessel transportation to the recycling nations amid strong precautionary measures. Our estimate suggests that about 300 million Gross Tonnage (GT) available for demolition in the next five years and the inability to get them recycled would cost about 20 billion dollars. More importantly, South Asian recycling nations would suffer from economic losses and employment opportunities. In this study, we also apply a scenario analysis technique to understand the impact range of COVID-19 in the short term and in the long term. The disruption is viewed through a circular economy framework, identifying a critical lack of 'global scale' acknowledgment in the circular economy framework. This article suggests that a formalized global scale, paralleled with favorable policies, may reduce supply chain disruption and improve sustainable development in the receiving nations.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="PubMed-not-MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">32904429</PMID><DateRevised><Year>2020</Year><Month>09</Month><Day>11</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Print">0921-3449</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Print"><Volume>164</Volume><PubDate><Year>2021</Year><Month>Jan</Month></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Resources, conservation, and recycling</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Resour Conserv Recycl</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Disruption in Circularity? Impact analysis of COVID-19 on ship recycling using Weibull tonnage estimation and scenario analysis method.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>105139</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105139</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>The sustainability of the ship recycling industry strongly linked with the global shipping market and international commodity flows. More than 80% of the End of Life (EoL) ships are dismantled in South Asian countries, namely Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. Due to measures taken to minimize the propagation of the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), an international supply chain is broken to a historic low, except for certain medical-related urgencies. Due to the disruption of global supply chains, the industry may submerge into uncertainty due to, perhaps, lack of adequate labor force to dismantle increased EoL ships and due to disturbances of vessel transportation to the recycling nations amid strong precautionary measures. Our estimate suggests that about 300 million Gross Tonnage (GT) available for demolition in the next five years and the inability to get them recycled would cost about 20 billion dollars. More importantly, South Asian recycling nations would suffer from economic losses and employment opportunities. In this study, we also apply a scenario analysis technique to understand the impact range of COVID-19 in the short term and in the long term. The disruption is viewed through a circular economy framework, identifying a critical lack of 'global scale' acknowledgment in the circular economy framework. This article suggests that a formalized global scale, paralleled with favorable policies, may reduce supply chain disruption and improve sustainable development in the receiving nations.</AbstractText><CopyrightInformation>© 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.</CopyrightInformation></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Rahman</LastName><ForeName>S M Mizanur</ForeName><Initials>SMM</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>University of Bordeaux, CNRS, Arts et Metiers Institute of Technology, Bordeaux INP, INRAE, I2M Bordeaux, F-33400 Talence, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Kim</LastName><ForeName>Junbeum</ForeName><Initials>J</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>CREIDD Research Center on Environmental Studies & Sustainability, Department of Humanities, Environment & Information Technology, Institut Charles Delaunay, CNRS-UMR 6281, University of Technology of Troyes, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Laratte</LastName><ForeName>Bertrand</ForeName><Initials>B</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Arts et Metiers Institute of Technology, University of Bordeaux, CNRS, Bordeaux INP, INRAE, I2M Bordeaux, F-33400 Talence, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Industrial Engineering, Ondokuz Mayıs University, 55139 Samsun, Turkey.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>APESA-Innovation, F-40220 Tarnos, France.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2020</Year><Month>08</Month><Day>28</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>Netherlands</Country><MedlineTA>Resour Conserv Recycl</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>9891750</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>0921-3449</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM"><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">COVID-19</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">circular economy</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">disruption response</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">global circular economy</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">scenario analysis</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="N">ship recycling</Keyword></KeywordList><CoiStatement>The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.</CoiStatement></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2020</Year><Month>06</Month><Day>24</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="revised"><Year>2020</Year><Month>08</Month><Day>16</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2020</Year><Month>08</Month><Day>26</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2020</Year><Month>9</Month><Day>10</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2020</Year><Month>9</Month><Day>10</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>1</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2020</Year><Month>9</Month><Day>9</Day><Hour>18</Hour><Minute>4</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>ppublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">32904429</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105139</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pii">S0921-3449(20)30456-0</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pii">105139</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pmc">PMC7455110</ArticleId></ArticleIdList><pmc-dir>pmcsd</pmc-dir>
<ReferenceList><Reference><Citation>Environ Monit Assess. 2013 May;185(5):3839-51</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">22923377</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Environ Sci Technol. 2017 Apr 4;51(7):3860-3870</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">28257181</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Resour Conserv Recycl. 2019 Jul;146:452-461</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">31274959</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference><Reference><Citation>Resour Conserv Recycl. 2020 Aug;159:104894</Citation><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">32313383</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></Reference></ReferenceList></PubmedData></pubmed><affiliations><list><country><li>France</li><li>Turquie</li></country><region><li>Aquitaine</li><li>Nouvelle-Aquitaine</li></region><settlement><li>Talence</li><li>Tarnos</li></settlement></list><tree><country name="France"><region name="Nouvelle-Aquitaine"><name sortKey="Rahman, S M Mizanur" sort="Rahman, S M Mizanur" uniqKey="Rahman S" first="S M Mizanur" last="Rahman">S M Mizanur Rahman</name></region><name sortKey="Kim, Junbeum" sort="Kim, Junbeum" uniqKey="Kim J" first="Junbeum" last="Kim">Junbeum Kim</name><name sortKey="Laratte, Bertrand" sort="Laratte, Bertrand" uniqKey="Laratte B" first="Bertrand" last="Laratte">Bertrand Laratte</name><name sortKey="Laratte, Bertrand" sort="Laratte, Bertrand" uniqKey="Laratte B" first="Bertrand" last="Laratte">Bertrand Laratte</name></country><country name="Turquie"><noRegion><name sortKey="Laratte, Bertrand" sort="Laratte, Bertrand" uniqKey="Laratte B" first="Bertrand" last="Laratte">Bertrand Laratte</name></noRegion></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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